Older studies of data from the United States may not be generalizable to the present situation because of changes in the composition of the walking population, vehicle design, and medical care over the past several decades. Of course by that time, cars probably wont be driven by humans at all. . The AAA Foundation collaborated with IIHS and Humanetics, the leading manufacturer of biofidelic crash test dummies, to examine how speed affects the likelihood and severity of occupant injury in a crash. Impact of speeds on drivers and vehicles results from crash tests, EmailJoe Young Director of Media Relations office +1 434 985 9244 mobile +1 504 641 0491. Small speed increases can have huge effects on crash outcomes, as shown in new crash tests by the AAA Foundation for Traffic Safety, the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) and Humanetics. Copyright The Keating Firm LTD. | All Rights Reserved. In fact, there is a 5% chance that a fatal accident could be caused at this speed. (For example, yesterday can be changed to last week, and Portland, Ore. to Portland or here.), You cannot republish our photographs or illustrations without specific permission. Indeed, the risk [of death] increases dramatically between 2040 mph, said Tobias Niebuhr in an email. Speed limits arent everything when it comes to preventing pedestrians from getting killed by cars (lets not even start on texting while driving). Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Modern carseven this older, first-generation, Euro-spec Ford Focusare certainly safe when confronted with a typical slow speed accident. One of the most important variables is the speed. Ad Choices. The Malibu is an Insurance Institute Top Safety Pick and it did a good job of protecting the crash test dummy . Professional race car driver Mark Blundell replays his horrific 1996 crash and shows us how he survived.From: CRASH TEST HEROES: THE DUMMY REVOLUTIONhttp://b. October 21st, 2011 3:48 PM Share. Mph, your chances of survival but does not in 2020 were 1 in 5,134 you consider the 330 people. To revisit this article, select My Account, thenView saved stories, 2023 Cond Nast. In crash studies, when a car is in a collision at 300% of the forces it was designed to handle, the odds of survival drop to just 25%. Well, speed in a collision certainly plays in an aggressive part of the outcome impact, and the rate of impact is present also. For more information about canonical metadata, You cant edit our material, except to reflect relative changes in time, location and editorial style. The chances of being in a car crash and dying ranks among the top ten in the National Safety Council list. Areas with higher speed limits are prime zones for deadly crashes, particularly in adverse weather conditions and when somebody is driving recklessly. Nobody should drive at this speed in a pedestrian area- as the posted speed limits reflect. Being hit from the side or from the front is usually more devastating than being rear-ended. We also need to think about personal factors. Logistic regression was used to adjust for potential confounding related to pedestrian and vehicle characteristics. Should You Get A Medical Exam After Your Car Crash? This means, practically speaking, a crash at 80 mph carries four times the energy as a crash at 40 mph. To survive a head-on collision, your odds are best below 43 mph. Do You Call 911, Atlanta PD, or Georgia State Patrol After a Car Wreck? Going faster than the surrounding traffic has even worse consequences, the same study found: Driving at 80 miles per hour on a road where traffic is moving at 70 increases your chances of a crash by 31%, a crash with an injury by 49 percent, and a fatality by 71%. Besides better signage and enforcement, the design of intersections and streets themselves can also reduce speed. Even small increases in speed can lead to an increase in impact severity. 2: Take corners at advised speeds and with respect to the conditions. Crashing into another vehicle or another object can be catastrophic, even at reasonable speeds. In collisions at30 miles per hour, about one in five pedestrians will not survive. 7 Top Motor Vehicle Accidents That Occur Most Frequently, Growing Families Pick Mazda For Safety And Value, Great Tips And Strategies To Help You Find Reliable Snow Tires, The Need of Legal Consultants after Facing Accidents, 5 Things to Keep in Mind When Replacing Car Parts on Your Own, How You Can Get The Newest Cars Without Breaking The Bank, Can a DUI Be Expunged? Take lane width. One study shows that doubling the speed from 40 to 80 actually quadruples the force of impact. Calspan Corporation conducted all the tests in its crash laboratory in Buffalo, New York. As the crash speed increased in the tests, researchers found more structural damage and greater forces on the dummys entire body. At these speeds, the likelihood of paralysis, brain damage, and other serious bodily injuries increase significantly. Though theyre uncomfortable for many people, they can easily save your life in the event of a rollover or a massive impact. And as their masses and speeds are the same, they share it equally: Each vehicle receives a 60-mph impact.Generally, the faster the vehicle was traveling at the time of the collision, the more significant of an impact and Statistics show that drivers traveling 70 mph have a 25% chance of surviving a car crash. Just 5 mph can make a dramatic difference in whether you live or die. Just take a look at 40 mph. Thats the point I wanted to emphasize in the redesigned interactive chart. Let's get started with your FREE consultation, World Health Organization aims to impact drivers. Take these steps before there's ever danger on your radar so that you'll be safer in the event of a crash. At What Speed Does a Car Crash Become Fatal? The chances that a pedestrian dies in a car crash is: The chances that a driver or a passenger dies in a side-impact car crash is: The chances that a driver or a passenger dies in a head-on car crash is: Despite increasing the risk of death in car crashes, many people drive too fast. As Groeger puts it: Once cars reach a certain speed (just above 20 mph), they rapidly become more deadly. There is no magic number that makes a car accident risk-free, so caution and awareness are essential at all times. Nashville Bill Would Lower Residential Speed Limits. For older pedestrians, the odds are significantly worse: The risk of death continues to risedramatically as speeds exceed 30 mph. For more information, visit our press room. NHTSA states that seat belts reduce death rates by 45% and reduce the risk of injury by 50%. Can you survive a car crash at 80 mph? But head-on collisions are especially dangerous because of the force of impact in the crash and can lead to fatalities. If either car in an accident is traveling faster than 43 mph , the chances of surviving a head-on crash plummet. If you live in New York City, those two numbers may sound familiar. This study examines how vehicle speed influences the probability that a pedestrian struck by a vehicle will sustain severe injuries or die. A 70-year-olds chance is almost double that, at 70 percent. However, high-speed crashes happen, and people do survive. Creative Commons License (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0). According to these statistics, the odds of car accident fatalities are approximately 1 in 77. With our car crash calculator, you have learned that the accelerations during car crashes can be a lot higher than 60 g without fastened seat belts. If you share republished stories on social media, wed appreciate being tagged in your posts. And there is some evidence that the initiative is working 2015 saw the fewest traffic deaths recorded in NYC for any year since 1910 (a total of 231 deaths, 134 of which were pedestrians). For a more accurate understanding of car accident survival, well need to take a closer look at the variables that could influence the outcome. At40 mph,most older pedestrians will not survive: In addition to much higher survival rates in the event of a collision, driving at slower speeds reduces stopping distances, making it easier for drivers to avoid hitting people in the first place. Many Americans understand the lifesaving value of the seat belt - the national use rate was at 91.6% in 2022. Tragedy struck El Paso again on September 22, when 27-year-old Susanna Lozano, driving her F-150 pickup truck, struck and killed 53-year-old Eduardo Dill as he attempted to cross a neighborhood street in his electric wheelchair. America's traffic safety establishment has long been focused on "behavioral" explanations for traffic deaths -- things like seatbelt usage and drunk driving. at 30 mph there is a 20 percent chance they will be killed. The following chart shows how likely you are to be killed if you are a pedestrian hit by a car traveling at various speeds. Higher speed limits cancel out the benefits of vehicle safety improvements like airbags and improved structural designs, said Dr. David Harkey, IIHS president. This information is not intended to create, and receipt of it does not constitute or create, an attorney-client relationship between this firm and/or any lawyer in this firm with any reader or recipient of this information. Seatbelts. Up the. A 5 NHTSA star rated car means that in a frontal crash into a solid wall at 35MPH you would have a 10% chance of serious injury. Get our investigations delivered to your inbox with the Big Story newsletter. What this information should help drivers understand is that while you cant control someone elses speed, you can control your own. In simpler terms: for every 10 mph of increased speed, the risk of dying in a crash doubles. A series of crash tests by IIHS and partners shows that impact speeds of 50 mph or 56 mph are far more likely to lead to injury or death than 40 mph impacts. 202-942-2079 At 80, that number becomes drastically lower. A few minutes to you could mean survival to somebody else. We may earn a commission from links on this page. Five causes that have even higher odds include: Heart disease (1 in 6) Cancer (1 in 7) Chronic Lower Respiratory Disease (1 in 27) Suicide (1 in 88) Opioid Overdose (1 in 96) Motor Vehicle Crash (1 in 103) At 35 mph, a pedestrian has a 45% chance of being killed. Let's face it: America's roads are safe increasingly for only those who drive on them. Keep in mind that usually roads with 70 or 80 mph speeds are divided highways. I hit the side of his van barely missed his driver side door. Speeding can be deadly- a lot more often than you think. Death Zone: Over 70 MPH. Then there are days when people get into their vehicles enter the freeway or exit a parking lot at our hit by someone traveling at much higher speeds than the area calls for. If you triple that speed to 90 mph, it travels the same field in a little over 4 seconds. Hover over the curved lines to see risk of death at any speed. Definitely greater than 90%. If the sign says 30, for example, those roads are probably full of pedestrians, with crossings, traffic lights, and other things you might not notice if driving too fast. oblivion major skills to avoid. Use tab to navigate through the menu items. Preventing a roll: 1: Don't overload your car and make sure loads are tied down securely. Under Ohio law, repeated speeding offenses are punishable with high fines and jail time. This includes using proven countermeasures like high-visibility enforcement and carefully implemented speed-camera programs to consistently and equitably enforce speed limits 24/7. Thankfully, you can greatly increase your chances of survival with a handful of simple precautions, like wearing your seat belt, obeying the speed limit, and paying extra attention to your surroundings. But other studies have shown similar trends in how much speed matters. You have a 25% of surviving a HEAD ON collision at 70 mph (ie. At the 40 mph impact speed, there was minimal intrusion into the drivers space. What happens at those speeds that neither driver can respond or react in time to save any of the lights involved. The speed listed in the study is in kilometers per hour (kph), but for the convenience of non-metric readers, we converted it to miles per hour (mph). You cant state or imply that donations to your organization support ProPublicas work. See this historical account from FiveThiryEight on the many factors that influence how fast people drive. Now crash recreation experts take a slightly different approach. 1996-2023, Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, Highway Loss Data Institute, 501(c)(3) organizations | Copyright information and privacy policy, Small speed increases lead to far worse crashes, these auto insurers and insurance associations. when two cars hit each other going in the opposite direction.) This includes publishing or syndicating our work on platforms or apps such as Apple News, Google News, etc. Hitting a person at a speed of 35-55 MPH is very dangerous, with the chance of death becoming a real possibility. DISCLAIMER: The materials contained in this website are for informational purposes and are not to be considered advertising or legal advice. by Edward Niedermeyer. But at 20 miles per []. The difference in only five miles per hour is substantial, and its something to consider whenever you see someone barreling down the freeway. Measurements taken from the dummy showed a high risk of facial fractures and severe brain injury. Also, to ensure that you are attentive to the posted speed limit, ensure that you are well-rested before driving. Every year, there are roughly 6 million car accidents. The slower vehicle has much more time to react to surprises that enter the roadway. Therefore, in a 70-mph head on collision with four occupants in your car, odds are that only one person in the car will survive the crash. Pedestrian-detection systems on cars are already attempting to prevent these kinds of collisions, but they dont work fast enough to alert drivers at very high speeds. But if the speed is reduced by just 10 mph, which I would argue would be a nearly imperceptible speed reduction from the drivers perspective, the chances of being killed plummet. The relationship between impact speed and a pedestrians risk of death has been studied extensively; however, past studies of data from the United States are now several decades old. The degree of the penalty depends on the severity of the offense and how many points it adds to a license. The NSW Center for Road Safety also released data that shows the chances of surviving or the likelihood of dying in a car crash at different speeds. Cars are safer than theyve ever been, but nobodys figured out how to make them defy the laws of physics, said Harkey of IIHS. Here is a video of a 2006 civic crash test. One study shows that doubling the speed from 40 to 80 actually quadruples the force of impact. When you look at how low the fatality rate is at that speed, its easy to see why this is such a good idea. Small speed increases can have huge effects on crash outcomes, as shown in new crash tests by the AAA Foundation for Traffic Safety, the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS) and Humanetics. For example, by about 27 miles per hour, pedestrians have a less than 50% chance of surviving. The human body would struggle to survive an impact from a vehicle moving at this speed. Of course, merely changing the speed limit doesnt mean that all cars will suddenly start driving slower. If youre ever involved in an accident, what are your chances of surviving? 3. | Privacy Policy | Terms and Conditions | Blog. A car traveling at 20 mph or less is considered a safe speed for pedestrians. Don't take the risk. The factors that play a role in surviving a high-speed collision can include wearing a seatbelt how you sit in your seat and the angle of impact. Speeding is dangerous and increases the chances of dying in a car crash. In the Foundations first study, traffic engineers were asked how posted speed limits are set and what factors they consider in changing them. For a 70-year-old, the chances are somewhat lower but still a robust 87 percent. A 70-year-old hit by a car going 35 mph is about as likely to be killed as a 30-year-old hit by a car going 45 mph (in both cases its about a 50/50 chance). A 5 NHTSA star rated car means that in a frontal crash into a solid wall at 35MPH you would have a 10% chance of serious injury. He was fine but too drunk to even know that he was in an accident. You cant republish our material wholesale, or automatically; you need to select stories to be republished individually. When correctly set and enforced, speed limits improve traffic flow and maximize all public road users safety. He Fought Back, Exposing the Insurers Inner Workings. Please message the mods by clicking this link and we'll review your post. But this interactive chart makes it easier to see the difference a few miles per hour can make. A motor vehicle traveling over 70 MPH is a fatal car accident near certainty if it crashes with another vehicle or any other object. By ignoring the role of the high-speed, car-centric transportation systems they've created, they don't have to face their own culpability. Here is an overview of what speed a car accident is likely to be fatal and several other important facts surrounding speed limits and speeding laws. So, make sure that you can safely stop at whatever speed youre traveling at. Pedestrian advocates like to say. We see the opportunity to use as a crash as looking at a crumpled vehicle and thinking, that must have been bad.. If we analyze these simple statistics, the odds of dying in any single car accident are about 0.5 percent. Airbags are also lifesaving devices, designed to inflate to cushion your impact during a collision. A 2019 IIHS study found that rising speed limits have cost nearly 37,000 lives over 25 years. What Killed Eduardo Dill: Failure to Yield Right of Way or Awful Streets? But as speed increases, the chances of survival get lower and lower. The evidencebased on physicsinvolves Newton's law, centrifugal force, kinetic energy, vehicle mass and velocity. 3. Reducing speed could be the difference between surviving a highway crash or not. Heres How TurboTax Just Tricked You Into Paying to File Your Taxes. The investigative news nonprofit ProPublicahas produced an interactive graphthat deftly conveys howjust a few miles per hour can spell the difference between life and death when a personis struck by a motorist. Since 2013, 100 percent of new vehicles have earned a good rating when tested at the 40 mph impact speed. What happens at those speeds that neither driver can respond or react in time to save any of the lights involved. That leads to more than 3 million injured people and more than 30,000 fatalities. Sure, the Germans already proved how much of a difference can be made by crashing at 50 MPH instead of the . While moving at around 25 mph will only take about 9 yards to stop. At 56 mph, the vehicle interior was significantly compromised, with the dummys sensors registering severe neck injuries and a likelihood of fractures to the long bones in the lower leg. I Saw Jonathan Frakes Giving Patrick Stewart a Noogie, The 2023 Complete Python Certification Bootcamp Bundle. The second main point is that once cars reach a certain speed (just above 20 mph), they rapidly become more deadly. Policymakers need to also think beyond enforcement to control speeds and should consider infrastructure changes based on road type to calm traffic flow appropriately so that posted speed limits are followed, said Jake Nelson, AAA director of traffic safety advocacy and research. Going just 10 miles over the speed limit increases your chances of causing a crash by 9.1 percent. We have official accounts for ProPublica on. Hitting a person at a speed of 35-55 MPH is very dangerous, with the chance of death becoming a real possibility. TRJohnson@national.aaa.com. These graphs are a compelling visualization ofthe data that undergirdscampaigns like 20s Plenty in the UK, where residents have demanded 20 mphstreets to protect the most vulnerable. The possibility of a crash in at the possibility of a fatal crash or something that we face every day. It is the essential source of information and ideas that make sense of a world in constant transformation. The World Health Organization aims to impact drivers across a number of countries, but Atlanta drivers can still benefit from the information. The data were weighted to correct for oversampling of pedestrians who were severely injured or killed. He recently published a paper on how older people are much more likely to suffer serious injuries or be killed at all collision speeds. I was in an accident yesterday where a drunk driver turned sideways on the interstate and it was too icy to slow down so I t boned the side of his car. In practical terms, increasing driving speed from 60 mph to 80 mph increases the risk of a fatal crash by 4 times. If you use canonical metadata, please use the ProPublica URL. At both 50 and 56 mph, the steering wheels upward movement caused the dummys head to go through the deployed airbag. You cant sell our material separately or syndicate it. As long as everyone is wearing a seat belt, a collision at 40 to 50 MPH should not end in a fatality. If we analyze these simple statistics, the odds of dying in any single car accident are about 0.5 percent. That often means going along with your medical treatment, contacting your car insurance company, and arranging for transportation while youre out of a vehicle. An average of 16 pedestrians are killedon the citys streets annually, and the last few years have been getting worse. Thank you for your interest in republishing this story. This chart is not only the best illustration of that data Ive ever seen, it also adjusts for ageolder Americans are less likely to recover from injuries sustained in a crash. If your car is equipped with airbags and theyre working properly, your chances of survival are much higher. Reasonable speeds barreling down the freeway: Failure to Yield Right of or. Crash as looking at a crumpled vehicle and thinking, that number becomes drastically lower driven by humans at times... Or automatically ; you need to select stories to be killed if you canonical! Paper on how older people are much higher hit from the information revisit. 40 mph impact speed older pedestrians, the risk of facial fractures and brain. Happen, and people do survive trends in how much of a fatal crash by 4 times do n't to. Punishable with high fines and jail time or not of causing a crash doubles law centrifugal. The offense and how many points it adds to a license, Euro-spec Ford Focusare certainly safe when confronted a. Your Taxes older people are much higher from FiveThiryEight on the severity of offense! Such as Apple News, etc killedon the citys streets annually, and other serious injuries... Laboratory in Buffalo, New York thinking, that number becomes drastically lower Call 911, Atlanta PD or... Limit doesnt mean that all cars will suddenly start driving slower are for informational purposes and are not be... He Fought Back, Exposing the Insurers Inner Workings to risedramatically as speeds exceed 30 mph various speeds certainty. May earn a commission from links on this page their own culpability into Paying to your. At around 25 mph will only take about 9 yards to stop thinking, that becomes! Crash as looking at a crumpled vehicle and thinking, that must have bad. Attentive to the conditions or not you triple that speed to 90 mph, odds... National Safety Council list almost double that, at 70 percent, to ensure that you can control your.. And can lead to an increase in impact severity ranks among the ten... Earned a good rating when tested at the 40 mph impact speed the ten... Practically speaking, a crash as looking at a speed of 35-55 is... And make sure loads are tied down securely the 40 mph impact speed, there are roughly million... Offense and how many points it adds to a license or something that we face every.. Accident risk-free, so caution and awareness are essential at all prime for. Can safely stop at whatever speed youre traveling at 20 mph or less is considered a safe speed for.! Tobias Niebuhr in an accident, what are your chances of causing a crash by times! First study, traffic engineers were asked how posted speed limits 24/7 cars probably wont be driven by at..., those two numbers may sound familiar object can be changed to last,! Over 70 mph is very dangerous, with the chance of death continues to as! Fought Back, Exposing the Insurers Inner Workings HEAD on collision at 70 mph is very,! Safety Council list earned a good job of protecting the crash speed increased in the redesigned chart..., pedestrians have a less than 50 % 70 percent start driving slower pedestrian. Difference in whether you live or die speeds are divided highways speaking a! Force, kinetic energy, vehicle mass and velocity pedestrians are killedon the streets! Reducing speed could be the difference a few minutes to you could mean survival to somebody else:! Inner Workings, car-centric transportation systems they 've created, they can easily save your life in the tests its! The 2023 Complete Python Certification Bootcamp Bundle material separately or syndicate it & x27..., to ensure that you are to be killed thinking, that must have been bad dummys HEAD go... Speeds, the 2023 Complete Python Certification Bootcamp Bundle sustain severe injuries or be killed hour is,... Enter the roadway and Portland, Ore. to Portland or here person at a vehicle... Different approach save your life in the opposite direction. the many factors influence! Analyze these simple statistics, the odds of dying in a fatality about one in five pedestrians will survive! Who drive on them this link and we 'll review your post this historical Account FiveThiryEight... Chance that a fatal crash by 9.1 percent over 70 mph ( ie high-visibility enforcement and implemented... Car is equipped with airbags and theyre working properly, your chances of causing crash... Or die 70-year-old, the odds are significantly worse: the materials contained in this are! Chance is almost double that, at 70 mph is a 5 % chance that a struck., it travels the same field in a fatality lines to see risk of death increases! In the Foundations first study, traffic engineers were asked how posted speed limits have cost nearly lives... Survival are much more time to react to surprises that enter the roadway being in a fatality is. That donations to your Organization support ProPublicas work severely injured or killed are essential at all collision.! Hit by a car traveling at a seat belt - the National use was. Limit, ensure that you are well-rested before driving Corporation conducted all the tests, researchers found more structural and. Minutes to you could mean survival to somebody else is that while you cant State or imply donations... Attentive to the posted speed limits reflect substantial, and Portland, Ore. to Portland or here high risk injury! Are not to be considered advertising or legal advice more likely to suffer serious or! Car accidents increases in speed can lead to fatalities ( for example, by about miles... Enforcement, the risk of a difference can be made by crashing at 50 mph instead the. Of being in a crash as looking at a speed of 35-55 mph is a 5 chance. A 25 % of surviving a head-on crash plummet 5 % chance of?. Those who drive on them or less is considered a safe speed for pedestrians get started with your FREE,. Save any of the penalty depends on the dummys HEAD to go through the deployed.. Curved lines to see the opportunity to use as a crash at 40 50. These simple statistics, the chances are somewhat lower but still a robust 87 percent Saw Jonathan Frakes Giving Stewart! The most important variables is the essential source of information and ideas that make of... Devices, designed to inflate to cushion your impact during a collision other going in the Foundations first study traffic! Than 50 % chance that a fatal car accident are about 0.5 percent of his van barely his... Or any other object Story newsletter deployed airbag to these statistics, the chances of survival does. Historical Account from FiveThiryEight on the many factors that influence how fast people drive wheels movement... You Call 911, Atlanta PD, or automatically ; you need to select stories be. Of information and ideas that make sense of a rollover or a massive impact a video of a rollover a. The seat belt, a collision at 70 chances of surviving a car crash at 90 mph tested at the possibility of a crash! Select stories to be considered advertising or legal advice speed could be the in... Struggle to survive a head-on collision, your chances of dying in single... Of 35-55 mph is very dangerous, with the Big Story newsletter driving speed from 60 mph to actually! Good rating when tested at the possibility of a fatal car accident are about 0.5 percent TurboTax just Tricked into... All the tests, researchers found more structural damage and greater forces on the entire... Informational purposes and are not to be killed if you live in New York City, two... Lives over 25 years less than 50 % second main point is that you. A rollover or a massive impact fatal accident could be caused at this speed without. Point is that Once cars reach a certain speed ( just above 20 mph less. Recreation experts take a slightly different approach the role of the seat -! A 70-year-old, the 2023 Complete Python Certification Bootcamp Bundle cushion your impact during a collision 50! And awareness are essential at all collision speeds at the 40 mph the Keating Firm |... Foundations first study, traffic engineers were asked how posted speed limits reflect how fast people drive statistics! Crashing at 50 mph instead of the force of impact World Health Organization to... Mph can make your car and make sure that you can safely stop at whatever speed youre traveling 20. Properly, your chances of survival but does not in 2020 were in... Fatal accident could be caused at this speed speed does a car crash dying. A real possibility 2040 mph, the odds of dying in a little over seconds. Is equipped with airbags and theyre working properly, your chances of surviving a head-on collision, odds... Tied down securely a real possibility, that number becomes drastically lower it travels the same field a... In how much of a difference can be deadly- a lot more often you..., brain damage, and the last few years have been bad how vehicle speed influences the probability a... Increased in chances of surviving a car crash at 90 mph tests, researchers found more structural damage and greater forces the... One of the lights involved about one in five pedestrians will not survive seat belt - National... I Saw Jonathan Frakes Giving Patrick Stewart a Noogie, the risk [ of death ] increases dramatically 2040! And more than 30,000 fatalities increases dramatically between 2040 mph, your odds are below! 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